Week 4 College Football Score Predictions: Expert Model Insights

As we move into Week 4 of the 2026 college football season, fans and analysts alike are buzzing with excitement. This week’s matchups promise plenty of drama, with several key games that could shape the season for many teams. The Athletic Media Company, now part of The New York Times, has released its score projections model, offering a look at what we might expect from this weekend’s games.

This article explores the projections, highlighting key matchups, player performances, and potential upsets.

Understanding the Projections Model

The Athletic Media Company’s score projections model uses historical data, team statistics, and player performance metrics to predict the outcomes of college football games. It’s well regarded in the sports analysis community for its accuracy and reliability.

The model considers factors such as offensive and defensive efficiency, turnover margins, and home-field advantage to give fans a broad picture of what to expect in Week 4. Here are some of the most anticipated games and their projected outcomes.

Key Matchups to Watch

Several games stand out for their potential impact on conference standings and playoff hopes. Here are a few of the most notable matchups:

Alabama vs. Georgia: This SEC showdown is always a highlight of the season. Both teams are undefeated, and the winner will have a significant advantage in the race for the conference title.
Ohio State vs. Michigan: One of the most storied rivalries in college football, this game could determine the Big Ten champion. Both teams have explosive offenses, so expect a high-scoring affair.
Notre Dame vs. USC: With both teams ranked in the top 10, this matchup has major playoff implications. Notre Dame’s defense will be tested against USC’s high-powered offense.

Players to Watch

Individual performances can make the difference between victory and defeat. Here are some players expected to have a big impact this week:

Quarterbacks

The quarterback position is often the most critical on the field. This week, keep an eye on:

Bryce Young (Alabama): Young has been a standout all season. His ability to make plays under pressure will be crucial against Georgia’s stout defense.
C.J. Stroud (Ohio State): Stroud’s precise passing and leadership have been key to Ohio State’s success. He’ll need to be at his best against Michigan.
Caleb Williams (USC): Williams has been electrifying, and his dual-threat ability makes him a nightmare for opposing defenses. Notre Dame will have its hands full trying to contain him.

Defensive Stars

Quarterbacks often get the spotlight, but defensive players can change a game, too. Watch out for:

Will Anderson Jr. (Alabama): Anderson is a dominant force on the defensive line, capable of disrupting both the passing and running game.
Aidan Hutchinson (Michigan): Hutchinson’s relentless motor and ability to get to the quarterback make him a key player in Michigan’s defensive scheme.
Kyle Hamilton (Notre Dame): Hamilton’s versatility and playmaking ability in the secondary will be crucial in slowing down USC’s passing attack.

Potential Upsets

College football is unpredictable, and Week 4 could bring a few surprises. Here are some games where an upset might be on the cards:

Texas vs. Oklahoma State

Texas has had an up-and-down season, but the team has the talent to compete with anyone. Oklahoma State is favored, but don’t be surprised if Texas pulls off the upset.

Florida vs. Kentucky

Kentucky has been flying under the radar, but it has a solid team capable of taking down Florida. This game could come down to the wire.

Wisconsin vs. Iowa

Wisconsin’s defense is one of the best in the country. If the team can slow down Iowa’s offense, an upset could be in the making.

Final Thoughts

Week 4 of the 2026 college football season should be a thrilling weekend, with several high-stakes matchups and the chance of a few upsets. The Athletic Media Company’s projections offer useful insights, but the games are decided on the field. Be sure to tune in and enjoy the excitement of college football.

For more detailed projections and analysis, check out the full report on the New York Times.