Key Factors in CFP Quarterfinals: Miami’s Rushing, Georgia’s Passing

The College Football Playoff quarterfinals are shaping up to be some of the most intense, high-stakes matchups we’ve seen all year. Elite teams are set to clash in the Cotton, Orange, Rose, and Sugar Bowls, and honestly? The stakes have never felt bigger.

This piece digs into what could tip the scales in each game. From Miami’s sudden running game resurgence to Texas Tech’s maddening red zone issues, every little thing could make a difference.

Let’s take a closer look at what might decide the fate of these powerhouse programs—because, at this point, it’s tough to say who’s got the real edge.

Miami vs. Ohio State: Can the Hurricanes Run Past the Buckeyes?

Miami pulled off a surprise win over Texas A&M in round one, thanks mostly to a running game that finally came alive. That was a huge shift for the Hurricanes, who spent the regular season ranked way down at 110th in the FBS for runs of 20-plus yards.

Offensive coordinator Shannon Dawson took full advantage of A&M’s defensive holes. But doing the same against Ohio State? That’s a whole different ballgame.

Ohio State’s Defensive Prowess

The Buckeyes have one of the toughest run defenses in the country. They’ve only allowed 31 runs of 10 yards or more all year, which is sixth-best in the nation.

They’re also stingy with missed tackles—just 3.6 percent against the run, second-best overall. Guys like All-America safety Caleb Downs and linebackers Arvell Resse and Sonny Styles keep things locked down.

Miami’s running game has battled injuries and inconsistency, so they’re up against it trying to break through this defense.

Key to Miami’s Upset Bid

If Miami wants to shock the world again, they’ll need another explosive performance on the ground. Freshman receiver Malachi Toney could be their wild card.

Stretching Ohio State’s defense from sideline to sideline might open up some lanes. Still, given how tough the Buckeyes are, it’s a big ask.

Texas Tech vs. Oregon: Red Zone Efficiency vs. Defensive Resilience

Texas Tech has been blowing teams out, leading the nation in scoring margin. But man, their red zone efficiency is a problem they can’t seem to shake.

They’re 96th in the country for turning red zone trips into touchdowns. Against an Oregon squad that loves high-scoring games, that’s risky business.

Red Zone Woes for Texas Tech

The Red Raiders just haven’t been able to finish drives, especially when facing good teams. Against opponents with winning records, they’ve only scored touchdowns on 32 percent of red zone chances.

Quarterback Behren Morton’s completion rate in the red zone is the lowest among the remaining QBs. Their red zone rushing numbers aren’t much better—second-worst among the CFP teams left.

Oregon’s Defensive Challenges

Oregon’s defense is great at keeping teams out of the red zone in the first place. But once opponents get there, the Ducks have allowed touchdowns on 71 percent of those trips.

They haven’t faced a ton of red zone attempts, though—ninth-fewest in the country. So, will Texas Tech finally cash in, or does Oregon’s defense hold up when it matters?

Indiana vs. Alabama: Protecting the Quarterback and Running Game Woes

Alabama’s chances in the Rose Bowl really come down to whether they can keep quarterback Simpson upright and get something going on the ground. Their offensive line has been all over the place this season.

The running game? Near the bottom nationally. And now they’re up against an Indiana defense that’s made a habit of getting after quarterbacks.

Indiana’s Defensive Strength

Indiana is tough, both against the run and when it comes to pressuring the quarterback. Even after losing defensive end Stephen Daley, the Hoosiers’ linebackers—Rolijah Hardy, Isaiah Jones, and Aiden Fisher—have racked up an impressive sack total.

They’re not even blitzing that much, which just makes things trickier for Alabama’s offense.

Alabama’s Offensive Struggles

Alabama’s line has given up two sacks a game, and their backs are averaging just 3.43 yards per carry. Offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb needs to figure out how to protect Simpson and get the run game going, fast.

It doesn’t help that Simpson’s been dealing with back issues, so keeping him healthy and upright is absolutely crucial.

Georgia vs. Ole Miss: Short Passing Game vs. Defensive Tackling

Georgia’s offense, with quarterback Gunner Stockton at the helm, leans hard on short passes and yards after the catch. Stockton’s favorite target, Zachariah Branch, has a knack for turning little gains into big ones.

This puts a ton of pressure on Ole Miss’ defense to make tackles in space—something they haven’t always been great at.

Georgia’s Offensive Strategy

Stockton loves getting the ball out fast to his playmakers, and a lot of his throws don’t even cross the line of scrimmage. It’s worked out well—Georgia is eighth in the country for yards after the catch.

Offensive coordinator Mike Bobo probably sticks with the short, quick passing game, hoping Ole Miss keeps missing tackles. It’s not flashy, but it’s been effective so far.

Ole Miss’ Defensive Challenges

Ole Miss’ defense has had a tough time with tackling, especially out in open space. The average depth of target against them is surprisingly high.

They’re letting up a lot of yards after the catch, which isn’t ideal. Defensive backs Chris Graves and Sage Ryan have both posted high missed tackle rates.

This could really cause issues against Georgia’s quick passing game. If they can’t clean that up, it’s going to be a long day.