College Football Playoff Hopefuls: 5 Teams Surging Towards the CFP
The College Football Playoff (CFP) landscape is always shifting, and this season is no exception. Michigan and Oregon have gotten off to uneven starts, giving other hopefuls a chance to make their case. Here, we’ll look at why Utah, Iowa, Missouri, Virginia, and Boise State have renewed optimism about their CFP chances. Each team has circumstances that could put it in the playoff picture, despite the early-season struggles of some traditional powerhouses.
Michigan and Oregon: A Tale of Two Paths
Michigan and Oregon have been part of College Football Playoff discussions for different reasons. Michigan is 2-0, but AP voters initially showed little faith, dropping the team from the poll entirely before it returned after a win against Oklahoma.
Oregon, meanwhile, has a tougher path to the CFP after losing to Oklahoma State.
Michigan’s Rocky Road
Despite being undefeated, Michigan is ranked No. 19, behind teams like Utah. The Wolverines’ inconsistent start has left voters and analysts skeptical. Still, their path to the CFP isn’t closed. Winning key games and keeping up their form could help them climb the rankings quickly.
Oregon’s Uphill Battle
Oregon’s loss to Oklahoma State will hang over the team all season. The College Football Playoff selection committee may view a ranked loss by a team like Utah more favorably than Oregon’s setback.
Oregon needs to win out and hope for some favorable results elsewhere to keep its CFP hopes alive.
Utah: A Second Chance
Utah narrowly missed the College Football Playoff last year, with losses to BYU and Texas Tech weakening its case. This season offers the Utes a fresh opportunity.
Their schedule includes just two ranked games, against BYU and Houston, giving them a manageable path to the Big 12 title game.
Handling Business
If Utah takes care of business and avoids slip-ups, it has a strong chance of earning an at-large CFP bid. Even with one loss, the Utes could make a compelling case, especially if they reach the Big 12 title game.
Comparison with Michigan and Oregon
With Michigan and Oregon struggling early, Utah’s path to the CFP looks clearer. The selection committee may favor a one-loss Utah team over Oregon, given the quality of Utah’s defeat and its overall performance.
Iowa: A Golden Opportunity
Iowa could benefit more than most from Michigan and Oregon’s slow starts. The Hawkeyes have a crucial game against Michigan in a couple of weeks, and it could turn their season around.
A win would give Iowa a head-to-head advantage over Michigan and put the Hawkeyes in the driver’s seat for a CFP spot.
Key Matchups
Iowa’s only ranked conference opponents are Michigan and Ohio State, and the games are back-to-back. Beating Ohio State isn’t essential, but defeating Michigan is crucial to Iowa’s CFP hopes. A win would give the Hawkeyes a significant boost.
Timing is Everything
This could be an ideal season for Iowa to knock off one of the Big Ten heavyweights. Its schedule, combined with other teams’ struggles, gives the Hawkeyes a rare chance to make a strong CFP case.
Missouri: The SEC Advantage
Missouri faces a tough schedule, but playing in the SEC often earns a team the benefit of the doubt from the CFP selection committee. With two Big Ten teams currently out of the equation, Missouri has an edge in the race for an at-large bid.
Top 10 Challenges
Missouri has four top 10 teams on its schedule. If it can go 2-2 against them, its case for an at-large bid will be much stronger.
The SEC’s reputation and the quality of Missouri’s wins could be hard for the CFP selection committee to ignore.
Consistency is Key
Even with the SEC advantage, Missouri can’t afford to lose too many games. Staying consistent and performing well in its high-stakes matchups will be crucial to its CFP hopes.
Virginia: Redemption Season
Virginia was one win away from making the College Football Playoff last year, needing only to win the ACC title game. This season, the Cavaliers are focused on moving up the rankings and securing a CFP spot.
Favorable Schedule
Virginia has a relatively clear path to the CFP, thanks to its schedule. The only ranked team it faces is SMU, and it avoids Clemson, Miami, and Louisville. That should make the trip to the ACC title game simpler.
ACC Title Game Importance
Even with a loss to SMU, reaching the ACC title game unscathed should be enough for Virginia to secure a CFP spot. The selection committee may overlook a single loss if the Cavaliers perform well in the title game.
Boise State: The Group of 6 Favorite
Boise State’s seven-point loss to Oregon shouldn’t keep it out of the CFP. That close game puts the Broncos in the running as the Group of 6 favorite at this point in the season.
Proving Their Worth
Boise State has shown it can compete with Big Ten teams, and its performances against Oregon and Michigan support that case. Winning its conference and maintaining its form will be crucial to the Broncos’ CFP hopes.
Edge Over Competitors
With Oregon and Michigan struggling, Boise State has an edge in the CFP at-large race. The Broncos have shown they can hang with top teams, and their strong overall performance makes them a compelling playoff candidate.
For more on these teams’ playoff chances, check out the full analysis on FanSided.